In a situation with a high probability of failure (losing to the Knicks and being eliminated from the playoffs), Sixers guard Tyrese Maxey took a low probability shot.

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What happened?

Overtime. The Sixers won. Game 6 is Thursday night.

Low probability doesn’t mean impossible. High probability doesn’t mean inevitable. Even if it looks like you only have a 5% chance of success, not taking action automatically drops that to a 0% chance.

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Don’t consider that as acting against the odds. Instead, see numbers like these for what they are: prior probabilities based on the existing, observable information at hand. Then take action accordingly, update your beliefs based on the outcomes, and continue on.